FPTP Election Strategizer
A data-science driven tool to mitigate the political biases of the First Past The Post electoral system
Dmitry Gorodnichy (Contact: dmitry@gorodnichy.ca)
Draft. Last updated: 19 May, 2021
Disclaimer:
This work is done at author’s own initiative and time, in support of the Fair Vote Canada, Fair Vote BC and One Time Alliance for Democratic Reform. It is not funded by any political party or organization.
1 Introduction
As articulated by www.fairvote.ca, Canada uses a century old First Past The Post (FPTP) electoral system, which favours large parties and greatly disadvantages small parties. Until such system is abolished in favour of more a democratic system, e.g., [proportional representation], [ranking (aka preferencial) voting], or [Second Ballot Majority Runoff] used elsewhere, the parties that have similar agendas will always be disadvantaged due to splitting the votes between them, and have less share of seats in the parliament than their share of popular votes, or may not have any seats at all representing the region (see Figures 1 and 2).
Nevertheless, it is still possible for disadvantaged parties to gain more seats in FPTP system, for all of them – should there be a political will to do that – by building one time alliances and using data science.
This article and the accompanying Web Application, called FPTP Election Strategizer, show how to do that. The concepts of the “Election system bias (ESB)” and “Election fairness score (EFS)” are introduced. A non-partisan data-agnostic approach to reduce ESB and increase country’s EFS is described.
The practical value of the approach is demonstrated using the results from BC provincial elections and the last federal 43-rd Canadian election. It shown then in both cases, the parties there have been most disadvantaged by the FRTP system, which are NDP and Green party, would have both gained more seats by making the one-time-alliances in the riding that are automatically identified by the FPTP Election Strategizer App.
Examples of the FPTP bias: In Prairies (left) and Greater Toronto area (right). Source: www.fairvote.ca
2 Metholodology
The developed approach is based on a model of what a fair election is and how it can be achieved under various constraints. The following assumptions and simplifications are made.
3 Fair Election premise
It is appreciated that Canada is a multi-regional country, where each region brings its own uniqueness, cultural values and political preferences. Therefore, an electoral system should be designed so as to allow each region to have its own voice (political party colours) in the parliament. In a fair election, the political colours in the parliament represent closely all regional interests. In an unfair election, the political colours in the parliament do not represent all regional interests.
Key Fair Election Premise: Each region has its own political colour presentation in the parliament that closely represents the interests of the region as expressed by the region voters. Image source: www.fairvote.ca
3.1 Assumptions
3.1.1 Estimating “Ground truth” political preferences in regions
One may never know the exact share (percentage) of population in a given region supporting one party or another, the so called “ground truth” Such ground truth is commonly estimated using one of two methods: a) historical election results , b) latest public opinion polls such as those published by [CBC]((https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada/), for example.
Each of these has limitations. The former, based on using historical FPTP election results, should be expected to be skewed towards the winner and runner-up(s) (as many votes will vote not for the party they support the most, but for the party who has the largest chance to come first)[2], it shows however riding by riding variation within the same region, and may show the outdated numbers.
The latter provides more recent numbers and can be expected to be less skewed (because it is not a real election, and respondents answers do not influence any outcome)
3.2 Concepts and metrics
For the description of the approach the [following terminology][1] is introduced.
[1] The choice of names for terminology is that by the author. It is introduced solely to stimulate the discussion and facilitate the presentation, rather that to be authoritative reference on the subject, which is rather new for the author.
Regional electoral system political bias(orFPTP biasfor Canada) \(B_{party}^{region}\) is the difference betweenSeats shareandVotes sharefor apartyin aregion. Positive bias (\(B_{party}>0\)) indicates that \(party\) takes advantage of the FPTP system in the \(region\). Negative (\(B_{party}<0\)) shows the parties that are disadvantaged by the system in the region.- National FPTP bias score \(BF\) : a number assigned to a country based on the election results that aggregates FPTP biased of all regions. A truly democratic
national electroral system bias scoreshould be close to zero. In contrast, - Election fairness score:
- Disadvantaged party: …
- Winnable riding for a party: the riding the party
- Alliance win-win riding pair: a pair (or a tuple) of winnable ridings where
- win-win riding pair:
- Win-win strategy: a
- One time alliance for democratic election: election-specific alliance between two or more parties aimed at increasing the
Election fairness scoreby means of applying aWin-win strategy.
3.3 Formalization of the problem
Given: an understanding on political preferences in each province/region (from past elections or public opinion polls), expressed a vector of popular vote share (%) given to each political party at each province/region: \(\vec V_{region} = (V^{Lib}, V^{Con}, V^{NDP}, V^{Grn}, V^{Other)})\), obtain: the vector of seats share in the parliment \(\vec S_{region} = (S^{Lib}, S^{Con}, S^{NDP}, S^{Grn}, S^{Other)})\) that is the closest to \(\vec V_{region}\) for each region.
The number of regions can vary from one (country is one big region) to the number of provinces/territories (each one is the region ) and can be used as a parameter that be adjusted in the Application.
3.4 The algorithm
- Step 1. In each region, compute FPTP Bias for each party (as the difference between share of votes and share of seats the party gets) and find parties that are most disadvantaged by the FPTP. These will be partied that the algorithm will help to achieve better results by using a win-win alliance strategy.
- Step 2. In each region. Compute Democracy Failure score (%), as the percentage of voters whose vote was not used (ignored/disrespected). This will be the objective function that the algorithm will minimize.
V - Step 3. In each region, find the parties disadvantaged by FPTP (which have the highest negative bias coefficient)
4 Example: Canadian 43-rd election results (2019)
Tables 1 shows the results from 43-rd election election at regional level, organized for easier side-by side comparison of Seats shares \(\vec S_{region}\) to Votes shares \(\vec V_{region}\) for each province.
…
4.1 RESULTS HHHHHHH
4.1.1 Test
| Province | Bloc-seats | Con-seats | Grn-seats | Lib-seats | NDP-seats | Other-seats | N | Bloc-seat(%) | Con-seat(%) | Grn-seat(%) | Lib-seat(%) | NDP-seat(%) | Other-seat(%) | total | Bloc-votes(%) | Con-votes(%) | Grn-votes(%) | Lib-votes(%) | NDP-votes(%) | Other-votes(%) | Bloc-Bias(%) | Con-Bias(%) | Grn-Bias(%) | Lib-Bias(%) | NDP-Bias(%) | Other-Bias(%) | Negated Votes (%) | Negated Votes (#) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AB | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 0.0 | 97.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2041445 | 0.0 | 69.2 | 2.8 | 13.7 | 11.5 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 27.8 | -2.8 | -13.7 | -8.5 | -2.7 | 27.7 | 565480 |
| BC | 0 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 42 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 5.0 | 26.0 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 2343760 | 0.0 | 34.1 | 12.4 | 26.1 | 24.4 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -7.4 | -0.1 | 1.6 | -1.0 | 8.5 | 199219 |
| MB | 0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 581036 | 0.0 | 45.4 | 5.1 | 26.3 | 20.7 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -5.1 | 2.7 | 0.3 | -2.4 | 7.5 | 43577 |
| NB | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 10.0 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 435883 | 0.0 | 32.8 | 17.0 | 37.6 | 9.4 | 3.2 | 0.0 | -2.8 | -7.0 | 22.4 | -9.4 | -3.2 | 22.4 | 97637 |
| NL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 239972 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 3.1 | 44.7 | 23.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | -28.0 | -3.1 | 41.3 | -9.9 | -0.4 | 41.4 | 99348 |
| NS | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 91.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 530837 | 0.0 | 25.7 | 11.0 | 41.3 | 18.9 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -16.7 | -11.0 | 49.7 | -18.9 | -3.0 | 49.6 | 263295 |
| North | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 67.0 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 46109 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 8.8 | 35.3 | 25.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | -29.0 | -8.8 | 31.7 | 7.4 | -1.2 | 39.0 | 17982 |
| ON | 0 | 36 | 0 | 79 | 6 | 0 | 121 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 65.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 6787042 | 0.0 | 33.2 | 6.2 | 41.5 | 16.8 | 2.4 | 0.0 | -3.2 | -6.2 | 23.5 | -11.8 | -2.4 | 23.6 | 1601741 |
| PE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83037 | 0.0 | 27.4 | 20.9 | 43.6 | 7.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -27.4 | -20.9 | 56.4 | -7.6 | -0.5 | 56.4 | 46832 |
| QC | 32 | 10 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 78 | 41.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 45.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4230638 | 32.5 | 16.0 | 4.5 | 34.2 | 10.7 | 2.0 | 8.5 | -3.0 | -4.5 | 10.8 | -9.7 | -2.0 | 19.2 | 812282 |
| SK | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 570505 | 0.0 | 64.3 | 2.5 | 11.6 | 19.5 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 35.7 | -2.5 | -11.6 | -19.5 | -2.1 | 35.7 | 203670 |
| National | 32 | 121 | 3 | 157 | 24 | 1 | 338 | 9.5 | 35.8 | 0.9 | 46.4 | 7.1 | 0.3 | 17890264 | 7.7 | 34.4 | 6.5 | 33.1 | 15.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | -5.6 | 13.3 | -8.8 | -2.1 | 16.5 | 2951893 |
| Prairies | 0 | 21 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 14.3 | 10.7 | 0.0 | 1151541 | 0.0 | 54.8 | 3.8 | 19.0 | 20.1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 20.2 | -3.8 | -4.7 | -9.4 | -2.3 | 20.2 | 232611 |
| Atl+North | 0 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 35 | 0.0 | 11.4 | 2.9 | 80.0 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 1335838 | 0.0 | 28.6 | 12.1 | 40.6 | 16.2 | 2.4 | 0.0 | -17.2 | -9.2 | 39.4 | -10.5 | -2.4 | 39.3 | 524984 |
## tttttttttttttt4.2
Table 1: Seats share vs. Votes shares in each province. Last column shows election bias factor
4.2.1 Table 1
| Province | Bloc-seats | Con-seats | Grn-seats | Lib-seats | NDP-seats | Other-seats | N | Bloc-seat(%) | Con-seat(%) | Grn-seat(%) | Lib-seat(%) | NDP-seat(%) | Other-seat(%) | total | Bloc-votes(%) | Con-votes(%) | Grn-votes(%) | Lib-votes(%) | NDP-votes(%) | Other-votes(%) | Bloc-Bias(%) | Con-Bias(%) | Grn-Bias(%) | Lib-Bias(%) | NDP-Bias(%) | Other-Bias(%) | Negated Votes (%) | Negated Votes (#) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AB | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 0.0 | 97.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2041445 | 0.0 | 69.2 | 2.8 | 13.7 | 11.5 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 27.8 | -2.8 | -13.7 | -8.5 | -2.7 | 27.7 | 565480 |
| BC | 0 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 42 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 5.0 | 26.0 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 2343760 | 0.0 | 34.1 | 12.4 | 26.1 | 24.4 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -7.4 | -0.1 | 1.6 | -1.0 | 8.5 | 199219 |
| MB | 0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 581036 | 0.0 | 45.4 | 5.1 | 26.3 | 20.7 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -5.1 | 2.7 | 0.3 | -2.4 | 7.5 | 43577 |
| NB | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 10.0 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 435883 | 0.0 | 32.8 | 17.0 | 37.6 | 9.4 | 3.2 | 0.0 | -2.8 | -7.0 | 22.4 | -9.4 | -3.2 | 22.4 | 97637 |
| NL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 239972 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 3.1 | 44.7 | 23.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | -28.0 | -3.1 | 41.3 | -9.9 | -0.4 | 41.4 | 99348 |
| NS | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 91.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 530837 | 0.0 | 25.7 | 11.0 | 41.3 | 18.9 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -16.7 | -11.0 | 49.7 | -18.9 | -3.0 | 49.6 | 263295 |
| North | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 67.0 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 46109 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 8.8 | 35.3 | 25.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | -29.0 | -8.8 | 31.7 | 7.4 | -1.2 | 39.0 | 17982 |
| ON | 0 | 36 | 0 | 79 | 6 | 0 | 121 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 65.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 6787042 | 0.0 | 33.2 | 6.2 | 41.5 | 16.8 | 2.4 | 0.0 | -3.2 | -6.2 | 23.5 | -11.8 | -2.4 | 23.6 | 1601741 |
| PE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83037 | 0.0 | 27.4 | 20.9 | 43.6 | 7.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -27.4 | -20.9 | 56.4 | -7.6 | -0.5 | 56.4 | 46832 |
| QC | 32 | 10 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 78 | 41.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 45.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4230638 | 32.5 | 16.0 | 4.5 | 34.2 | 10.7 | 2.0 | 8.5 | -3.0 | -4.5 | 10.8 | -9.7 | -2.0 | 19.2 | 812282 |
| SK | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 570505 | 0.0 | 64.3 | 2.5 | 11.6 | 19.5 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 35.7 | -2.5 | -11.6 | -19.5 | -2.1 | 35.7 | 203670 |
| National | 32 | 121 | 3 | 157 | 24 | 1 | 338 | 9.5 | 35.8 | 0.9 | 46.4 | 7.1 | 0.3 | 17890264 | 7.7 | 34.4 | 6.5 | 33.1 | 15.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | -5.6 | 13.3 | -8.8 | -2.1 | 16.5 | 2951893 |
| Prairies | 0 | 21 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 14.3 | 10.7 | 0.0 | 1151541 | 0.0 | 54.8 | 3.8 | 19.0 | 20.1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 20.2 | -3.8 | -4.7 | -9.4 | -2.3 | 20.2 | 232611 |
| Atl+North | 0 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 35 | 0.0 | 11.4 | 2.9 | 80.0 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 1335838 | 0.0 | 28.6 | 12.1 | 40.6 | 16.2 | 2.4 | 0.0 | -17.2 | -9.2 | 39.4 | -10.5 | -2.4 | 39.3 | 524984 |
4.2.2 Interactive table
Table sorted by the share of Votes Ignored: Democracy Failed (%)
Table 2 shows the results at the riding level. Table sorted by t…. The table is interactive version of the table allows one to find the ridings where disadvantaged parties can win, if they team up.
Table 2: Votes distribution in ridings. Last four columns show statistics related to forming one-time alliances"
4.3
4.3.1 Table 2
| Riding # | Province | Region | Riding Name | total | 1st | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Bloc | Con | Grn | Lib | NDP | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10001 | NL | Newfoundland and Labrador | Avalon | 40457 | 46.1 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Bloc | Other | 0.0 | 31.0 | 5.4 | 46.1 | 17.6 | 0.0 |
| 10002 | NL | Newfoundland and Labrador | Bonavista–Burin–Trinity | 32173 | 45.7 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Bloc | Other | 0.0 | 39.5 | 2.9 | 45.7 | 12.0 | 0.0 |
| 10003 | NL | Newfoundland and Labrador | Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame | 32924 | 48.2 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Bloc | Other | 0.0 | 35.5 | 4.0 | 48.2 | 12.3 | 0.0 |
| 10004 | NL | Newfoundland and Labrador | Labrador | 11389 | 42.3 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Bloc | Other | 0.0 | 31.2 | 2.0 | 42.3 | 24.6 | 0.0 |
| 10005 | NL | Newfoundland and Labrador | Long Range Mountains | 38385 | 47.4 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 28.3 | 3.5 | 47.4 | 19.8 | 1.1 |
| 10006 | NL | Newfoundland and Labrador | St. John’s East | 45130 | 46.9 | NDP | Lib | Con | Grn | Bloc | Other | 0.0 | 18.1 | 1.8 | 33.2 | 46.9 | 0.0 |
| 10007 | NL | Newfoundland and Labrador | St. John’s South–Mount Pearl | 39514 | 50.9 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 19.1 | 1.8 | 50.9 | 27.1 | 1.2 |
| 11001 | PE | PEI | Cardigan | 21697 | 49.3 | Lib | Con | Grn | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 29.1 | 13.9 | 49.3 | 6.8 | 1.1 |
| 11002 | PE | PEI | Charlottetown | 19252 | 44.2 | Lib | Grn | Con | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 20.4 | 23.2 | 44.2 | 11.4 | 0.9 |
| 11003 | PE | PEI | Egmont | 19058 | 39.4 | Lib | Con | Grn | NDP | Bloc | Other | 0.0 | 34.7 | 19.7 | 39.4 | 6.2 | 0.0 |
| 11004 | PE | PEI | Malpeque | 23030 | 41.4 | Lib | Grn | Con | NDP | Bloc | Other | 0.0 | 25.6 | 26.5 | 41.4 | 6.5 | 0.0 |
| 12001 | NS | Nova Scotia - Northern | Cape Breton–Canso | 41857 | 38.5 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 34.6 | 7.8 | 38.5 | 15.0 | 4.2 |
| 12002 | NS | Nova Scotia - Northern | Central Nova | 44559 | 46.5 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 29.6 | 7.8 | 46.5 | 13.2 | 2.8 |
| 12003 | NS | Nova Scotia - West and South | Cumberland–Colchester | 45450 | 36.7 | Lib | Con | Grn | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 35.7 | 13.2 | 36.7 | 12.0 | 2.4 |
| 12004 | NS | Nova Scotia - Halifax | Dartmouth–Cole Harbour | 52585 | 45.2 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 16.1 | 9.9 | 45.2 | 27.0 | 1.8 |
| 12005 | NS | Nova Scotia - Halifax | Halifax | 54489 | 42.4 | Lib | NDP | Grn | Con | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 11.4 | 14.2 | 42.4 | 30.5 | 1.5 |
| 12006 | NS | Nova Scotia - Halifax | Halifax West | 54356 | 49.5 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Bloc | Other | 0.0 | 19.3 | 12.1 | 49.5 | 19.2 | 0.0 |
| 12007 | NS | Nova Scotia - West and South | Kings–Hants | 48035 | 43.3 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 24.8 | 12.6 | 43.3 | 17.2 | 2.2 |
| 12008 | NS | Nova Scotia - Halifax | Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook | 49563 | 40.2 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 22.6 | 11.6 | 40.2 | 23.9 | 1.7 |
| 12009 | NS | Nova Scotia - West and South | South Shore–St. Margarets | 52521 | 41.7 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 28.1 | 11.6 | 41.7 | 15.9 | 2.8 |
| 12010 | NS | Nova Scotia - Northern | Sydney–Victoria | 40576 | 30.9 | Lib | Con | NDP | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 27.7 | 5.5 | 30.9 | 20.1 | 15.8 |
| 12011 | NS | Nova Scotia - West and South | West Nova | 46846 | 39.3 | Con | Lib | Grn | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 39.3 | 12.7 | 36.4 | 10.7 | 1.0 |
| 13001 | NB | New Brunswick - N and W | Acadie–Bathurst | 48097 | 55.1 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Bloc | Other | 0.0 | 21.5 | 8.9 | 55.1 | 14.5 | 0.0 |
| 13002 | NB | New Brunswick - SE | Beauséjour | 53630 | 46.5 | Lib | Grn | Con | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 17.6 | 26.6 | 46.5 | 7.3 | 2.0 |
| 13003 | NB | New Brunswick - SE | Fredericton | 46841 | 32.8 | Grn | Con | Lib | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 31.1 | 32.8 | 27.3 | 6.0 | 2.7 |
| 13004 | NB | New Brunswick - SE | Fundy Royal | 47192 | 46.0 | Con | Lib | Grn | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 46.0 | 15.0 | 25.5 | 9.9 | 3.7 |
| 13005 | NB | New Brunswick - N and W | Madawaska–Restigouche | 34535 | 50.2 | Lib | Con | Grn | NDP | Bloc | Other | 0.0 | 28.4 | 14.7 | 50.2 | 6.7 | 0.0 |
| 13006 | NB | New Brunswick - N and W | Miramichi–Grand Lake | 34597 | 36.8 | Lib | Con | Grn | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 35.6 | 11.3 | 36.8 | 8.3 | 8.0 |
| 13007 | NB | New Brunswick - N and W | Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe | 51943 | 42.9 | Lib | Con | Grn | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 23.5 | 18.0 | 42.9 | 11.9 | 3.8 |
| 13008 | NB | New Brunswick - SE | New Brunswick Southwest | 39648 | 49.1 | Con | Lib | Grn | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 49.1 | 13.5 | 25.5 | 8.2 | 3.7 |
| 13009 | NB | New Brunswick - SE | Saint John–Rothesay | 41254 | 37.4 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 34.0 | 10.1 | 37.4 | 12.2 | 6.3 |
| 13010 | NB | New Brunswick - N and W | Tobique–Mactaquac | 38146 | 50.4 | Con | Lib | Grn | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 50.4 | 14.0 | 25.2 | 7.9 | 2.5 |
| 24001 | QC | Laurentides, Outaouis, Nord | Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou | 28925 | 37.7 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 37.7 | 16.6 | 3.5 | 28.1 | 11.9 | 2.3 |
| 24002 | QC | Laurentides, Outaouis, Nord | Abitibi–Témiscamingue | 49753 | 45.4 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 45.4 | 15.1 | 3.5 | 24.5 | 9.9 | 1.5 |
| 24003 | QC | Montreal Nord et Laval | Ahuntsic-Cartierville | 54152 | 52.7 | Lib | Bloc | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | 21.5 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 52.7 | 11.4 | 1.1 |
| 24004 | QC | Montreal Nord et Laval | Alfred-Pellan | 53954 | 47.8 | Lib | Bloc | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 28.7 | 10.9 | 3.5 | 47.8 | 7.7 | 1.4 |
| 24005 | QC | Laurentides, Outaouis, Nord | Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation | 49623 | 37.8 | Lib | Bloc | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 36.4 | 12.1 | 4.8 | 37.8 | 7.5 | 1.4 |
| 24006 | QC | Quebec Est | Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia | 35374 | 51.6 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 51.6 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 33.9 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| 24007 | QC | Cantons de l’Est | Beauce | 59125 | 38.6 | Con | Other | Bloc | Lib | NDP | Grn | 14.1 | 38.6 | 2.4 | 11.7 | 3.0 | 30.2 |
| 24008 | QC | Quebec | Beauport–Limoilou | 49532 | 30.4 | Bloc | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | 30.4 | 26.0 | 4.2 | 26.0 | 11.2 | 2.2 |
| 24009 | QC | Québec central | Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel | 52053 | 56.8 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 56.8 | 16.1 | 3.2 | 17.8 | 5.2 | 0.9 |
| 24010 | QC | Quebec Est | Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis | 64062 | 50.3 | Con | Bloc | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | 22.9 | 50.3 | 2.9 | 16.2 | 5.4 | 2.4 |
| 24011 | QC | Montérégie | Beloeil–Chambly | 68919 | 50.6 | Bloc | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | 50.6 | 6.2 | 4.6 | 23.1 | 14.5 | 1.0 |
| 24012 | QC | Québec central | Berthier–Maskinongé | 56148 | 37.4 | Bloc | NDP | Lib | Con | Other | Grn | 37.4 | 10.3 | 1.7 | 13.9 | 34.7 | 1.9 |
| 24013 | QC | Laurentides, Outaouis, Nord | Thérèse-De Blainville | 59116 | 41.2 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 41.2 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 36.7 | 7.6 | 1.2 |
| 24014 | QC | Montérégie | Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères | 60912 | 51.7 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 51.7 | 8.0 | 4.7 | 28.2 | 6.7 | 0.6 |
| 24015 | QC | Montreal Nord et Laval | Bourassa | 39902 | 57.6 | Lib | Bloc | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | 22.5 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 57.6 | 7.9 | 1.6 |
| 24016 | QC | Cantons de l’Est | Brome–Missisquoi | 61098 | 38.3 | Lib | Bloc | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 34.4 | 12.6 | 5.3 | 38.3 | 7.9 | 1.5 |
| 24017 | QC | Montérégie | Brossard–Saint-Lambert | 55981 | 54.0 | Lib | Bloc | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 19.7 | 10.8 | 5.0 | 54.0 | 9.4 | 1.0 |
| 24018 | QC | Quebec Est | Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques | 45376 | 38.0 | Bloc | NDP | Lib | Con | Grn | Other | 38.0 | 8.9 | 1.7 | 22.0 | 28.5 | 0.9 |
| 24019 | QC | Quebec | Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles | 58544 | 38.1 | Con | Bloc | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | 27.3 | 38.1 | 3.4 | 21.3 | 7.6 | 2.4 |
| 24020 | QC | Côte-Nord - Saguenay | Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix | 50285 | 36.4 | Bloc | Con | Lib | NDP | Other | Grn | 36.4 | 29.7 | 2.6 | 20.9 | 5.6 | 4.7 |
| 24021 | QC | Montérégie | Châteauguay–Lacolle | 52749 | 38.7 | Lib | Bloc | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 36.9 | 11.2 | 3.6 | 38.7 | 7.5 | 2.1 |
| 24022 | QC | Côte-Nord - Saguenay | Chicoutimi–Le Fjord | 43268 | 36.7 | Con | Bloc | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | 35.2 | 36.7 | 3.1 | 17.1 | 6.4 | 1.5 |
| 24023 | QC | Cantons de l’Est | Compton–Stanstead | 57796 | 37.3 | Lib | Bloc | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 32.0 | 14.5 | 5.2 | 37.3 | 9.6 | 1.4 |
| 24024 | QC | Montréal Ouest | Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle | 51785 | 53.1 | Lib | Bloc | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | 17.0 | 10.6 | 5.5 | 53.1 | 11.7 | 2.2 |
| 24025 | QC | Cantons de l’Est | Drummond | 54315 | 44.6 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 44.6 | 16.7 | 3.4 | 17.5 | 15.9 | 1.9 |
| 24026 | QC | Quebec Est | Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine | 38380 | 42.5 | Lib | Bloc | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 40.8 | 7.9 | 2.9 | 42.5 | 4.5 | 1.4 |
| 24027 | QC | Laurentides, Outaouis, Nord | Gatineau | 55174 | 52.2 | Lib | Bloc | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | 21.5 | 10.3 | 4.0 | 52.2 | 10.9 | 1.1 |
| 24028 | QC | Montréal Est | Hochelaga | 52162 | 34.1 | Lib | Bloc | NDP | Grn | Con | Other | 33.5 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 34.1 | 21.4 | 1.7 |
| 24029 | QC | Montréal Est | Honoré-Mercier | 49959 | 58.7 | Lib | Bloc | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 19.8 | 9.6 | 2.7 | 58.7 | 8.1 | 1.1 |
| 24030 | QC | Laurentides, Outaouis, Nord | Hull–Aylmer | 52924 | 53.8 | Lib | Bloc | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | 15.0 | 9.0 | 6.8 | 53.8 | 13.5 | 1.9 |
| 24031 | QC | Québec central | Joliette | 57186 | 58.6 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 58.6 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 22.2 | 4.5 | 1.7 |
| 24032 | QC | Côte-Nord - Saguenay | Jonquière | 48863 | 35.7 | Bloc | NDP | Con | Lib | Grn | Other | 35.7 | 20.9 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 24.4 | 1.1 |
| 24033 | QC | Montréal Est | La Pointe-de-l’Île | 54899 | 47.1 | Bloc | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | 47.1 | 7.2 | 3.3 | 30.4 | 10.8 | 1.2 |
| 24034 | QC | Montérégie | La Prairie | 61306 | 41.8 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 41.8 | 9.0 | 4.1 | 36.4 | 7.9 | 0.8 |
| 24035 | QC | Côte-Nord - Saguenay | Lac-Saint-Jean | 53971 | 44.0 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 44.0 | 23.2 | 1.8 | 25.2 | 4.9 | 0.8 |
| 24036 | QC | Montréal Ouest | Lac-Saint-Louis | 58320 | 58.0 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Bloc | Other | 5.4 | 15.3 | 7.0 | 58.0 | 12.2 | 2.1 |
| 24037 | QC | Montréal Ouest | LaSalle–Émard–Verdun | 51632 | 43.6 | Lib | Bloc | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | 24.3 | 7.1 | 6.7 | 43.6 | 16.3 | 2.0 |
| 24038 | QC | Laurentides, Outaouis, Nord | Laurentides–Labelle | 65009 | 47.0 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 47.0 | 7.6 | 4.8 | 33.1 | 6.2 | 1.3 |
| 24039 | QC | Montréal Est | Laurier–Sainte-Marie | 51801 | 41.6 | Lib | NDP | Bloc | Grn | Con | Other | 23.2 | 2.8 | 5.9 | 41.6 | 25.1 | 1.4 |
| 24040 | QC | Montreal Nord et Laval | Laval–Les Îles | 52119 | 47.8 | Lib | Bloc | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 20.8 | 16.5 | 4.3 | 47.8 | 9.0 | 1.7 |
| 24041 | QC | Montérégie | Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne | 49527 | 39.1 | Lib | Bloc | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | 36.6 | 7.4 | 5.7 | 39.1 | 10.2 | 1.1 |
| 24042 | QC | Québec central | Lévis–Lotbinière | 63159 | 44.7 | Con | Bloc | Lib | NDP | Other | Grn | 25.1 | 44.7 | 2.9 | 16.9 | 6.8 | 3.5 |
| 24043 | QC | Montérégie | Longueuil–Saint-Hubert | 59239 | 38.7 | Bloc | Lib | Grn | NDP | Con | Other | 38.7 | 6.3 | 11.1 | 34.2 | 8.4 | 1.2 |
| 24044 | QC | Quebec | Louis-Hébert | 61474 | 40.5 | Lib | Bloc | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 28.1 | 17.6 | 3.9 | 40.5 | 7.8 | 2.1 |
| 24045 | QC | Quebec | Louis-Saint-Laurent | 64767 | 44.4 | Con | Bloc | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | 22.5 | 44.4 | 3.3 | 20.9 | 6.6 | 2.4 |
| 24046 | QC | Côte-Nord - Saguenay | Manicouagan | 39906 | 54.0 | Bloc | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | 54.0 | 19.3 | 3.1 | 19.2 | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| 24047 | QC | Cantons de l’Est | Mégantic–L’Érable | 46628 | 49.4 | Con | Bloc | Lib | NDP | Other | Grn | 25.7 | 49.4 | 2.6 | 15.4 | 4.1 | 2.7 |
| 24048 | QC | Laurentides, Outaouis, Nord | Mirabel | 62708 | 51.1 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 51.1 | 9.2 | 5.4 | 24.8 | 8.1 | 1.5 |
| 24049 | QC | Montérégie | Montarville | 58629 | 43.1 | Bloc | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | 43.1 | 7.0 | 4.9 | 35.6 | 8.2 | 1.2 |
| 24050 | QC | Québec central | Montcalm | 54529 | 58.1 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 58.1 | 9.0 | 4.4 | 20.4 | 6.4 | 1.7 |
| 24051 | QC | Quebec Est | Montmagny–L’Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup | 50000 | 41.9 | Con | Bloc | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | 32.2 | 41.9 | 2.0 | 16.3 | 6.8 | 0.8 |
| 24052 | QC | Montréal Ouest | Mount Royal | 42793 | 56.4 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Bloc | Other | 4.0 | 25.1 | 5.3 | 56.4 | 8.1 | 1.0 |
| 24053 | QC | Montréal Ouest | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Westmount | 48355 | 56.3 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Bloc | Other | 4.8 | 11.4 | 10.6 | 56.3 | 15.4 | 1.5 |
| 24054 | QC | Montréal Ouest | Outremont | 39201 | 47.0 | Lib | NDP | Bloc | Grn | Con | Other | 14.2 | 5.5 | 12.1 | 47.0 | 19.9 | 1.3 |
| 24055 | QC | Montreal Nord et Laval | Papineau | 48451 | 51.2 | Lib | NDP | Bloc | Grn | Con | Other | 15.9 | 4.3 | 7.6 | 51.2 | 18.9 | 2.1 |
| 24056 | QC | Montréal Ouest | Pierrefonds–Dollard | 54699 | 56.5 | Lib | Con | NDP | Bloc | Grn | Other | 8.1 | 17.7 | 5.1 | 56.5 | 10.1 | 2.4 |
| 24057 | QC | Laurentides, Outaouis, Nord | Pontiac | 60915 | 48.9 | Lib | Con | Bloc | NDP | Grn | Other | 16.2 | 16.9 | 6.0 | 48.9 | 10.4 | 1.7 |
| 24058 | QC | Québec central | Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier | 63644 | 43.2 | Con | Bloc | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | 24.3 | 43.2 | 3.9 | 19.9 | 5.7 | 3.0 |
| 24059 | QC | Quebec | Québec | 54355 | 33.2 | Lib | Bloc | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 32.8 | 15.0 | 5.4 | 33.2 | 11.4 | 2.1 |
| 24060 | QC | Québec central | Repentigny | 64942 | 53.3 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 53.3 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 27.7 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| 24061 | QC | Cantons de l’Est | Richmond–Arthabaska | 58495 | 45.4 | Con | Bloc | Lib | Grn | NDP | Other | 28.2 | 45.4 | 5.3 | 15.2 | 4.8 | 1.2 |
| 24062 | QC | Laurentides, Outaouis, Nord | Rivière-des-Mille-Îles | 57780 | 40.7 | Bloc | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | 40.7 | 8.1 | 5.3 | 36.0 | 8.5 | 1.5 |
| 24063 | QC | Laurentides, Outaouis, Nord | Rivière-du-Nord | 58578 | 52.3 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 52.3 | 11.8 | 5.6 | 22.1 | 7.0 | 1.3 |
| 24064 | QC | Montréal Est | Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie | 59016 | 42.3 | NDP | Lib | Bloc | Grn | Con | Other | 24.0 | 2.4 | 5.9 | 24.1 | 42.3 | 1.3 |
| 24065 | QC | Montreal Nord et Laval | Marc-Aurèle-Fortin | 55351 | 44.5 | Lib | Bloc | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 32.5 | 9.7 | 3.7 | 44.5 | 8.3 | 1.2 |
| 24066 | QC | Cantons de l’Est | Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot | 55543 | 41.4 | Bloc | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | 41.4 | 14.4 | 3.6 | 21.3 | 18.4 | 0.9 |
| 24067 | QC | Montérégie | Saint-Jean | 61354 | 45.1 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 45.1 | 10.5 | 5.0 | 30.6 | 7.7 | 1.1 |
| 24068 | QC | Montréal Ouest | Saint-Laurent | 39629 | 58.7 | Lib | Con | NDP | Bloc | Grn | Other | 7.1 | 17.4 | 5.3 | 58.7 | 10.0 | 1.4 |
| 24069 | QC | Montreal Nord et Laval | Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel | 45000 | 61.2 | Lib | Con | Bloc | Other | NDP | Grn | 9.6 | 11.9 | 2.6 | 61.2 | 6.4 | 8.3 |
| 24070 | QC | Québec central | Saint-Maurice–Champlain | 58029 | 39.6 | Lib | Bloc | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 34.2 | 16.4 | 3.0 | 39.6 | 5.2 | 1.6 |
| 24071 | QC | Montérégie | Salaberry–Suroît | 62568 | 47.8 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 47.8 | 9.7 | 3.1 | 29.6 | 7.9 | 1.8 |
| 24072 | QC | Cantons de l’Est | Shefford | 60552 | 38.7 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 38.7 | 12.3 | 4.6 | 37.1 | 6.0 | 1.3 |
| 24073 | QC | Cantons de l’Est | Sherbrooke | 59850 | 29.3 | Lib | NDP | Bloc | Con | Grn | Other | 25.8 | 10.7 | 4.5 | 29.3 | 28.3 | 1.4 |
| 24074 | QC | Montérégie | Vaudreuil–Soulanges | 67564 | 47.3 | Lib | Bloc | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 24.5 | 11.4 | 5.0 | 47.3 | 10.7 | 1.0 |
| 24075 | QC | Laurentides, Outaouis, Nord | Terrebonne | 60579 | 50.8 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 50.8 | 7.6 | 3.7 | 29.1 | 7.5 | 1.4 |
| 24076 | QC | Québec central | Trois-Rivières | 60208 | 28.5 | Bloc | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 28.5 | 25.2 | 2.4 | 26.0 | 16.6 | 1.2 |
| 24077 | QC | Montréal Ouest | Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Soeurs | 51054 | 53.1 | Lib | NDP | Bloc | Con | Grn | Other | 13.5 | 9.1 | 7.0 | 53.1 | 15.5 | 1.9 |
| 24078 | QC | Montreal Nord et Laval | Vimy | 55115 | 47.5 | Lib | Bloc | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | 27.9 | 10.8 | 3.8 | 47.5 | 8.6 | 1.3 |
| 35001 | ON | Durham and York | Ajax | 60377 | 56.9 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 26.9 | 3.3 | 56.9 | 11.3 | 1.6 |
| 35002 | ON | Northern Ontario | Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing | 40209 | 41.6 | NDP | Con | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 26.3 | 5.3 | 24.3 | 41.6 | 2.5 |
| 35003 | ON | Durham and York | Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill | 52162 | 44.7 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 44.7 | 4.0 | 42.2 | 7.1 | 2.0 |
| 35004 | ON | Central Ontario | Barrie–Innisfil | 53600 | 44.0 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 44.0 | 8.6 | 29.2 | 16.3 | 1.9 |
| 35005 | ON | Central Ontario | Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte | 53254 | 39.2 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 39.2 | 13.1 | 31.2 | 14.8 | 1.8 |
| 35006 | ON | Eastern Ontario | Bay of Quinte | 61953 | 39.3 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 36.9 | 6.0 | 39.3 | 15.8 | 1.9 |
| 35007 | ON | Central Toronto | Beaches–East York | 56206 | 57.2 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 14.2 | 5.9 | 57.2 | 21.3 | 1.5 |
| 35008 | ON | Brampton, Miss. and Oakville | Brampton Centre | 39278 | 47.2 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 27.0 | 4.2 | 47.2 | 19.6 | 2.0 |
| 35009 | ON | Brampton, Miss. and Oakville | Brampton East | 50078 | 47.4 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 24.1 | 1.4 | 47.4 | 26.1 | 1.1 |
| 35010 | ON | Brampton, Miss. and Oakville | Brampton North | 49958 | 51.4 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 27.8 | 3.0 | 51.4 | 16.8 | 1.0 |
| 35011 | ON | Brampton, Miss. and Oakville | Brampton South | 48171 | 49.5 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 28.6 | 3.9 | 49.5 | 16.3 | 1.8 |
| 35012 | ON | Brampton, Miss. and Oakville | Brampton West | 53007 | 53.6 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 23.9 | 2.3 | 53.6 | 18.3 | 1.8 |
| 35013 | ON | Midwest Ontario - S | Brantford–Brant | 66068 | 40.4 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 40.4 | 6.3 | 30.7 | 19.6 | 3.0 |
| 35014 | ON | Central Ontario | Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound | 57522 | 46.2 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 46.2 | 8.7 | 30.0 | 11.6 | 3.5 |
| 35015 | ON | Hamilton, Burl & Niagara | Burlington | 70888 | 48.3 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 33.1 | 6.5 | 48.3 | 10.8 | 1.4 |
| 35016 | ON | Midwest Ontario - Kitch.-Waterloo | Cambridge | 57295 | 39.5 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 30.2 | 7.5 | 39.5 | 19.2 | 3.7 |
| 35017 | ON | Southwest Ontario | Chatham-Kent–Leamington | 53728 | 47.1 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 47.1 | 4.1 | 31.2 | 15.1 | 2.5 |
| 35018 | ON | Central Toronto | Davenport | 52303 | 43.6 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 9.6 | 4.5 | 43.6 | 40.8 | 1.5 |
| 35019 | ON | Suburban Toronto | Don Valley East | 41734 | 59.7 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 24.0 | 3.9 | 59.7 | 11.0 | 1.3 |
| 35020 | ON | Suburban Toronto | Don Valley North | 45704 | 50.3 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 35.7 | 3.9 | 50.3 | 9.1 | 1.0 |
| 35021 | ON | Central Toronto | Don Valley West | 51017 | 55.7 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 31.3 | 4.2 | 55.7 | 7.4 | 1.4 |
| 35022 | ON | Central Ontario | Dufferin–Caledon | 67956 | 42.3 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 42.3 | 10.7 | 32.9 | 11.5 | 2.7 |
| 35023 | ON | Durham and York | Durham | 72423 | 42.3 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 42.3 | 5.4 | 32.2 | 18.1 | 2.0 |
| 35024 | ON | Central Toronto | Eglinton–Lawrence | 55109 | 53.3 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 32.5 | 4.7 | 53.3 | 8.4 | 1.1 |
| 35025 | ON | Southwest Ontario | Elgin–Middlesex–London | 61288 | 50.4 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 50.4 | 5.7 | 23.1 | 17.8 | 3.0 |
| 35026 | ON | Southwest Ontario | Essex | 67686 | 41.6 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 41.6 | 3.2 | 19.0 | 34.5 | 1.8 |
| 35027 | ON | Suburban Toronto | Etobicoke Centre | 62390 | 51.8 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 34.6 | 4.4 | 51.8 | 7.6 | 1.5 |
| 35028 | ON | Suburban Toronto | Etobicoke–Lakeshore | 68588 | 51.8 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 28.9 | 5.9 | 51.8 | 11.9 | 1.6 |
| 35029 | ON | Suburban Toronto | Etobicoke North | 42685 | 61.3 | Lib | Con | NDP | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 22.1 | 2.6 | 61.3 | 11.1 | 3.0 |
| 35030 | ON | Hamilton, Burl & Niagara | Flamborough–Glanbrook | 62937 | 38.7 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 38.7 | 6.0 | 37.7 | 16.1 | 1.5 |
| 35031 | ON | Eastern Ontario | Glengarry–Prescott–Russell | 63297 | 47.4 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 36.1 | 3.2 | 47.4 | 10.5 | 2.9 |
| 35032 | ON | Midwest Ontario - Kitch.-Waterloo | Guelph | 74059 | 40.4 | Lib | Grn | Con | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 19.4 | 25.4 | 40.4 | 12.2 | 2.6 |
| 35033 | ON | Midwest Ontario - S | Haldimand–Norfolk | 58372 | 46.8 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 46.8 | 8.1 | 24.5 | 15.4 | 5.3 |
| 35034 | ON | Central Ontario | Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock | 65015 | 49.2 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 49.2 | 8.3 | 25.9 | 14.7 | 1.9 |
| 35035 | ON | Hamilton, Burl & Niagara | Hamilton Centre | 43528 | 46.1 | NDP | Lib | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 14.5 | 7.6 | 28.7 | 46.1 | 3.1 |
| 35036 | ON | Hamilton, Burl & Niagara | Hamilton East–Stoney Creek | 51639 | 38.5 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 25.2 | 5.5 | 38.5 | 28.7 | 2.1 |
| 35037 | ON | Hamilton, Burl & Niagara | Hamilton Mountain | 52273 | 36.1 | NDP | Lib | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 25.5 | 5.9 | 30.3 | 36.1 | 2.3 |
| 35038 | ON | Hamilton, Burl & Niagara | Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas | 64131 | 46.4 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 26.8 | 7.4 | 46.4 | 17.7 | 1.6 |
| 35039 | ON | Eastern Ontario | Hastings–Lennox and Addington | 51321 | 41.4 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 41.4 | 5.8 | 37.0 | 13.3 | 2.5 |
| 35040 | ON | Midwest Ontario - NW | Huron–Bruce | 60330 | 48.7 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 48.7 | 4.4 | 33.0 | 12.1 | 1.8 |
| 35041 | ON | Ottawa | Kanata–Carleton | 64613 | 43.0 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 36.7 | 6.5 | 43.0 | 12.4 | 1.4 |
| 35042 | ON | Northern Ontario | Kenora | 27304 | 34.1 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 34.1 | 5.4 | 30.0 | 28.5 | 2.0 |
| 35043 | ON | Durham and York | King–Vaughan | 63199 | 44.9 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 43.4 | 3.9 | 44.9 | 6.6 | 1.1 |
| 35044 | ON | Eastern Ontario | Kingston and the Islands | 66672 | 46.0 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 19.2 | 8.8 | 46.0 | 23.4 | 2.6 |
| 35045 | ON | Midwest Ontario - Kitch.-Waterloo | Kitchener Centre | 54659 | 36.6 | Lib | Grn | Con | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 24.0 | 26.0 | 36.6 | 11.1 | 2.2 |
| 35046 | ON | Midwest Ontario - Kitch.-Waterloo | Kitchener–Conestoga | 50763 | 39.6 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 39.1 | 9.6 | 39.6 | 10.1 | 1.5 |
| 35047 | ON | Midwest Ontario - Kitch.-Waterloo | Kitchener South–Hespeler | 51694 | 40.1 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 33.6 | 10.9 | 40.1 | 13.3 | 2.2 |
| 35048 | ON | Southwest Ontario | Lambton–Kent–Middlesex | 57864 | 49.2 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 49.2 | 5.9 | 25.3 | 15.9 | 3.7 |
| 35049 | ON | Eastern Ontario | Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston | 60868 | 48.3 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 48.3 | 11.1 | 24.5 | 14.3 | 1.8 |
| 35050 | ON | Eastern Ontario | Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes | 57799 | 49.2 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 49.2 | 8.7 | 26.4 | 14.0 | 1.7 |
| 35051 | ON | Southwest Ontario | London–Fanshawe | 54933 | 40.9 | NDP | Lib | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 24.8 | 5.0 | 26.7 | 40.9 | 2.6 |
| 35052 | ON | Southwest Ontario | London North Centre | 59777 | 42.7 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 23.9 | 7.5 | 42.7 | 23.3 | 2.6 |
| 35053 | ON | Southwest Ontario | London West | 70234 | 42.8 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 28.1 | 5.4 | 42.8 | 21.4 | 2.4 |
| 35054 | ON | Durham and York | Markham–Stouffville | 63654 | 38.9 | Lib | Con | Other | NDP | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 30.7 | 2.5 | 38.9 | 6.3 | 21.6 |
| 35055 | ON | Durham and York | Markham–Thornhill | 44330 | 53.7 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 34.7 | 2.7 | 53.7 | 7.3 | 1.4 |
| 35056 | ON | Durham and York | Markham–Unionville | 52464 | 49.3 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 49.3 | 4.4 | 38.2 | 6.5 | 1.6 |
| 35057 | ON | Hamilton, Burl & Niagara | Milton | 59005 | 51.6 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 36.4 | 4.6 | 51.6 | 6.4 | 1.0 |
| 35058 | ON | Brampton, Miss. and Oakville | Mississauga Centre | 52948 | 55.7 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 29.8 | 3.1 | 55.7 | 9.5 | 2.0 |
| 35059 | ON | Brampton, Miss. and Oakville | Mississauga East–Cooksville | 51079 | 53.0 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 33.7 | 3.0 | 53.0 | 8.7 | 1.6 |
| 35060 | ON | Brampton, Miss. and Oakville | Mississauga–Erin Mills | 57954 | 53.3 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 33.0 | 3.7 | 53.3 | 8.9 | 1.1 |
| 35061 | ON | Brampton, Miss. and Oakville | Mississauga–Lakeshore | 60129 | 48.2 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 37.5 | 4.6 | 48.2 | 8.3 | 1.4 |
| 35062 | ON | Brampton, Miss. and Oakville | Mississauga–Malton | 47893 | 57.4 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 26.0 | 2.5 | 57.4 | 12.4 | 1.6 |
| 35063 | ON | Brampton, Miss. and Oakville | Mississauga–Streetsville | 57899 | 50.2 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 33.2 | 4.7 | 50.2 | 10.3 | 1.7 |
| 35064 | ON | Ottawa | Nepean | 68191 | 45.6 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 33.5 | 6.4 | 45.6 | 13.0 | 1.5 |
| 35065 | ON | Durham and York | Newmarket–Aurora | 60468 | 42.9 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 38.2 | 5.7 | 42.9 | 10.6 | 2.6 |
| 35066 | ON | Hamilton, Burl & Niagara | Niagara Centre | 57510 | 35.0 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 31.1 | 5.2 | 35.0 | 26.7 | 2.0 |
| 35067 | ON | Hamilton, Burl & Niagara | Niagara Falls | 68111 | 35.6 | Con | Lib | NDP | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 35.6 | 4.8 | 32.4 | 18.0 | 9.1 |
| 35068 | ON | Hamilton, Burl & Niagara | Niagara West | 52682 | 45.5 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 45.5 | 6.6 | 32.2 | 12.1 | 3.5 |
| 35069 | ON | Northern Ontario | Nickel Belt | 48524 | 39.0 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 21.2 | 5.4 | 39.0 | 32.1 | 2.4 |
| 35070 | ON | Northern Ontario | Nipissing–Timiskaming | 45173 | 40.1 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 27.3 | 6.5 | 40.1 | 20.8 | 5.3 |
| 35071 | ON | Central Ontario | Northumberland–Peterborough South | 68268 | 39.9 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 39.9 | 7.9 | 36.2 | 13.9 | 2.1 |
| 35072 | ON | Brampton, Miss. and Oakville | Oakville | 61882 | 46.3 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 38.9 | 5.6 | 46.3 | 7.8 | 1.5 |
| 35073 | ON | Brampton, Miss. and Oakville | Oakville North–Burlington | 68452 | 48.1 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 38.3 | 4.2 | 48.1 | 8.3 | 1.1 |
| 35074 | ON | Durham and York | Oshawa | 61614 | 38.9 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 38.9 | 5.1 | 25.3 | 28.5 | 2.2 |
| 35075 | ON | Ottawa | Ottawa Centre | 75448 | 48.5 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 12.6 | 7.3 | 48.5 | 29.2 | 2.3 |
| 35076 | ON | Ottawa | Orléans | 80198 | 54.3 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 28.3 | 4.6 | 54.3 | 11.6 | 1.2 |
| 35077 | ON | Ottawa | Ottawa South | 63752 | 52.4 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 24.6 | 5.4 | 52.4 | 15.9 | 1.6 |
| 35078 | ON | Ottawa | Ottawa–Vanier | 62185 | 50.6 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 17.3 | 7.3 | 50.6 | 21.0 | 3.8 |
| 35079 | ON | Ottawa | Ottawa West–Nepean | 60699 | 45.5 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 27.2 | 6.3 | 45.5 | 18.8 | 2.3 |
| 35080 | ON | Midwest Ontario - S | Oxford | 60469 | 48.3 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 48.3 | 7.8 | 19.2 | 20.2 | 4.6 |
| 35081 | ON | Central Toronto | Parkdale–High Park | 59952 | 47.4 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 13.3 | 6.5 | 47.4 | 31.3 | 1.5 |
| 35082 | ON | Northern Ontario | Parry Sound–Muskoka | 54080 | 41.9 | Con | Lib | Grn | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 41.9 | 15.3 | 30.4 | 11.7 | 0.7 |
| 35083 | ON | Midwest Ontario - NW | Perth–Wellington | 54921 | 46.4 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 46.4 | 8.9 | 27.0 | 14.7 | 3.0 |
| 35084 | ON | Central Ontario | Peterborough–Kawartha | 68854 | 39.2 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 35.0 | 7.1 | 39.2 | 17.0 | 1.8 |
| 35085 | ON | Durham and York | Pickering–Uxbridge | 62751 | 51.0 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 29.2 | 5.9 | 51.0 | 11.9 | 2.0 |
| 35086 | ON | Eastern Ontario | Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke | 57506 | 52.7 | Con | Lib | NDP | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 52.7 | 5.4 | 19.7 | 14.9 | 7.3 |
| 35087 | ON | Durham and York | Richmond Hill | 50249 | 43.4 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 43.2 | 3.4 | 43.4 | 8.8 | 1.3 |
| 35088 | ON | Ottawa | Carleton | 67935 | 46.6 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 46.6 | 4.9 | 38.2 | 9.3 | 1.1 |
| 35089 | ON | Hamilton, Burl & Niagara | St. Catharines | 59370 | 40.1 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 31.8 | 6.1 | 40.1 | 20.6 | 1.4 |
| 35090 | ON | Central Toronto | Toronto–St. Paul’s | 58850 | 54.8 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 21.4 | 6.7 | 54.8 | 15.6 | 1.6 |
| 35091 | ON | Southwest Ontario | Sarnia–Lambton | 57084 | 49.6 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 49.6 | 4.3 | 20.7 | 21.7 | 3.7 |
| 35092 | ON | Northern Ontario | Sault Ste. Marie | 41267 | 39.0 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 32.4 | 4.3 | 39.0 | 22.6 | 1.8 |
| 35093 | ON | Suburban Toronto | Scarborough–Agincourt | 41247 | 50.4 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 37.3 | 2.5 | 50.4 | 8.6 | 1.2 |
| 35094 | ON | Suburban Toronto | Scarborough Centre | 46076 | 55.2 | Lib | Con | NDP | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 22.4 | 2.9 | 55.2 | 11.6 | 8.0 |
| 35095 | ON | Suburban Toronto | Scarborough–Guildwood | 42219 | 61.1 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 22.5 | 2.8 | 61.1 | 11.1 | 2.5 |
| 35096 | ON | Suburban Toronto | Scarborough North | 38492 | 53.5 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 30.5 | 2.0 | 53.5 | 12.8 | 1.2 |
| 35097 | ON | Suburban Toronto | Scarborough–Rouge Park | 50305 | 62.3 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 20.1 | 4.6 | 62.3 | 11.4 | 1.6 |
| 35098 | ON | Suburban Toronto | Scarborough Southwest | 50106 | 57.2 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 20.8 | 4.8 | 57.2 | 15.6 | 1.6 |
| 35099 | ON | Central Ontario | Simcoe–Grey | 74226 | 43.7 | Con | Lib | Grn | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 43.7 | 11.3 | 31.5 | 11.2 | 2.2 |
| 35100 | ON | Central Ontario | Simcoe North | 62302 | 43.5 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 43.5 | 9.3 | 30.7 | 14.0 | 2.4 |
| 35101 | ON | Central Toronto | Spadina–Fort York | 59648 | 55.4 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 17.6 | 5.1 | 55.4 | 20.5 | 1.4 |
| 35102 | ON | Eastern Ontario | Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry | 53258 | 54.2 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 54.2 | 3.9 | 25.5 | 14.2 | 2.2 |
| 35103 | ON | Northern Ontario | Sudbury | 47708 | 40.8 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 20.5 | 6.7 | 40.8 | 28.9 | 3.2 |
| 35104 | ON | Durham and York | Thornhill | 53432 | 54.4 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 54.4 | 2.9 | 35.3 | 6.7 | 0.6 |
| 35105 | ON | Northern Ontario | Thunder Bay–Rainy River | 40541 | 35.4 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 29.6 | 4.4 | 35.4 | 28.9 | 1.8 |
| 35106 | ON | Northern Ontario | Thunder Bay–Superior North | 42178 | 42.6 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 25.8 | 8.3 | 42.6 | 21.3 | 2.0 |
| 35107 | ON | Northern Ontario | Timmins–James Bay | 36068 | 39.8 | NDP | Con | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 27.1 | 3.4 | 26.2 | 39.8 | 3.4 |
| 35108 | ON | Central Toronto | Toronto Centre | 53299 | 57.4 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 12.1 | 7.0 | 57.4 | 22.3 | 1.2 |
| 35109 | ON | Central Toronto | Toronto–Danforth | 56990 | 47.6 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 10.6 | 6.5 | 47.6 | 33.2 | 2.2 |
| 35110 | ON | Central Toronto | University–Rosedale | 54604 | 51.4 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 16.5 | 8.4 | 51.4 | 22.0 | 1.7 |
| 35111 | ON | Durham and York | Vaughan–Woodbridge | 50010 | 51.3 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 36.4 | 2.6 | 51.3 | 7.7 | 2.0 |
| 35112 | ON | Midwest Ontario - Kitch.-Waterloo | Waterloo | 62791 | 48.7 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 24.7 | 9.7 | 48.7 | 15.2 | 1.7 |
| 35113 | ON | Midwest Ontario - Kitch.-Waterloo | Wellington–Halton Hills | 68760 | 47.7 | Con | Lib | Grn | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 47.7 | 12.6 | 28.3 | 9.2 | 2.2 |
| 35114 | ON | Durham and York | Whitby | 68059 | 43.7 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 35.7 | 5.4 | 43.7 | 14.0 | 1.2 |
| 35115 | ON | Suburban Toronto | Willowdale | 44639 | 49.1 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 36.2 | 3.6 | 49.1 | 9.2 | 1.8 |
| 35116 | ON | Soutwest Ontario | Windsor–Tecumseh | 56512 | 33.4 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 27.9 | 3.8 | 33.4 | 32.3 | 2.6 |
| 35117 | ON | Southwest Ontario | Windsor West | 51539 | 40.1 | NDP | Lib | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 19.1 | 2.5 | 36.3 | 40.1 | 2.0 |
| 35118 | ON | Suburban Toronto | York Centre | 42588 | 50.3 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Bloc | Other | 0.0 | 36.6 | 3.2 | 50.3 | 9.8 | 0.0 |
| 35119 | ON | Central Ontario | York–Simcoe | 53303 | 46.5 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 46.5 | 8.7 | 26.7 | 14.0 | 4.1 |
| 35120 | ON | Central Toronto | York South–Weston | 44788 | 57.2 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 18.7 | 3.6 | 57.2 | 18.8 | 1.7 |
| 35121 | ON | Suburban Toronto | Humber River–Black Creek | 37636 | 61.1 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 16.3 | 2.1 | 61.1 | 18.9 | 1.6 |
| 46001 | MB | Rural Manitoba | Brandon–Souris | 40536 | 63.5 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 63.5 | 7.2 | 12.1 | 14.0 | 3.1 |
| 46002 | MB | Winnipeg | Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley | 45510 | 40.7 | Con | Lib | NDP | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 40.7 | 4.6 | 35.4 | 14.2 | 4.9 |
| 46003 | MB | Rural Manitoba | Churchill–Keewatinook Aski | 22311 | 49.9 | NDP | Lib | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 20.8 | 5.0 | 23.0 | 49.9 | 1.3 |
| 46004 | MB | Rural Manitoba | Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa | 38686 | 64.5 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 64.5 | 5.4 | 13.2 | 14.0 | 3.0 |
| 46005 | MB | Winnipeg | Elmwood–Transcona | 43532 | 45.6 | NDP | Con | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 37.7 | 3.4 | 12.1 | 45.6 | 1.2 |
| 46006 | MB | Winnipeg | Kildonan–St. Paul | 43768 | 45.0 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 45.0 | 4.0 | 27.8 | 21.0 | 2.2 |
| 46007 | MB | Rural Manitoba | Portage–Lisgar | 44227 | 71.0 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 71.0 | 5.2 | 10.7 | 8.6 | 4.6 |
| 46008 | MB | Rural Manitoba | Provencher | 48023 | 65.8 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 65.8 | 6.1 | 13.0 | 12.7 | 2.4 |
| 46009 | MB | Winnipeg | Saint Boniface–Saint Vital | 46724 | 42.7 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 32.7 | 5.6 | 42.7 | 17.0 | 2.0 |
| 46010 | MB | Rural Manitoba | Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman | 48974 | 62.8 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 62.8 | 5.9 | 12.0 | 17.9 | 1.4 |
| 46011 | MB | Winnipeg | Winnipeg Centre | 31066 | 41.3 | NDP | Lib | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 17.8 | 5.2 | 33.4 | 41.3 | 2.3 |
| 46012 | MB | Winnipeg | Winnipeg North | 31528 | 47.2 | Lib | NDP | Con | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 21.1 | 2.8 | 47.2 | 26.1 | 2.9 |
| 46013 | MB | Winnipeg | Winnipeg South | 47199 | 42.1 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 38.8 | 4.3 | 42.1 | 13.9 | 0.9 |
| 46014 | MB | Winnipeg | Winnipeg South Centre | 48952 | 45.2 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 29.8 | 6.2 | 45.2 | 17.6 | 1.3 |
| 47001 | SK | North Saskatchewan | Battlefords–Lloydminster | 35189 | 79.0 | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 79.0 | 1.7 | 6.3 | 11.2 | 1.8 |
| 47002 | SK | South Saskachewan | Cypress Hills–Grasslands | 38048 | 81.2 | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 81.2 | 1.8 | 4.1 | 9.5 | 3.4 |
| 47003 | SK | North Saskatchewan | Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River | 25924 | 41.7 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 41.7 | 1.9 | 26.6 | 28.9 | 0.8 |
| 47004 | SK | North Saskatchewan | Carlton Trail–Eagle Creek | 44217 | 78.7 | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 78.7 | 1.9 | 4.6 | 12.2 | 2.6 |
| 47005 | SK | South Saskachewan | Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan | 43273 | 71.2 | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 71.2 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 17.1 | 3.6 |
| 47006 | SK | North Saskatchewan | Prince Albert | 39201 | 68.0 | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 68.0 | 2.1 | 10.1 | 17.4 | 2.4 |
| 47007 | SK | South Saskachewan | Regina–Lewvan | 50772 | 52.9 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 52.9 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 28.5 | 1.6 |
| 47008 | SK | South Saskachewan | Regina–Qu’Appelle | 38057 | 63.7 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 63.7 | 3.2 | 11.3 | 19.8 | 2.0 |
| 47009 | SK | South Saskachewan | Regina–Wascana | 44767 | 49.6 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 49.6 | 2.9 | 33.5 | 12.8 | 1.3 |
| 47010 | SK | North Saskatchewan | Saskatoon–Grasswood | 48466 | 53.7 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 53.7 | 2.6 | 16.9 | 25.4 | 1.4 |
| 47011 | SK | North Saskatchewan | Saskatoon–University | 46372 | 52.3 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 52.3 | 2.9 | 13.0 | 29.7 | 2.1 |
| 47012 | SK | North Saskatchewan | Saskatoon West | 38189 | 48.2 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 48.2 | 2.6 | 7.2 | 40.0 | 2.0 |
| 47013 | SK | South Saskachewan | Souris–Moose Mountain | 40180 | 84.4 | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 84.4 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 7.7 | 2.1 |
| 47014 | SK | South Saskachewan | Yorkton–Melville | 37850 | 76.5 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 76.5 | 2.7 | 6.3 | 12.1 | 2.4 |
| 48001 | AB | Rural Alberta | Banff–Airdrie | 76595 | 71.3 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 71.3 | 4.2 | 10.7 | 10.4 | 3.4 |
| 48002 | AB | Rural Alberta | Battle River–Crowfoot | 61404 | 85.5 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 85.5 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.6 |
| 48003 | AB | Rural Alberta | Bow River | 54357 | 84.1 | Con | Lib | NDP | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 84.1 | 1.5 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 3.2 |
| 48004 | AB | Calgary | Calgary Centre | 63934 | 56.9 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 56.9 | 4.3 | 26.9 | 9.8 | 2.1 |
| 48005 | AB | Calgary | Calgary Confederation | 64345 | 55.4 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 55.4 | 8.5 | 22.5 | 11.1 | 2.5 |
| 48006 | AB | Calgary | Calgary Forest Lawn | 39431 | 59.8 | Con | Lib | NDP | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 59.8 | 3.3 | 21.7 | 10.5 | 4.8 |
| 48007 | AB | Calgary | Calgary Heritage | 55202 | 70.8 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 70.8 | 3.5 | 13.9 | 9.1 | 2.7 |
| 48008 | AB | Calgary | Calgary Midnapore | 66717 | 74.5 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 74.5 | 2.9 | 11.0 | 9.3 | 2.3 |
| 48009 | AB | Calgary | Calgary Nose Hill | 54281 | 69.9 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 69.9 | 2.7 | 15.9 | 9.4 | 2.1 |
| 48010 | AB | Calgary | Calgary Rocky Ridge | 69258 | 68.6 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 68.6 | 2.8 | 18.3 | 8.5 | 1.9 |
| 48011 | AB | Calgary | Calgary Shepard | 76885 | 75.2 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 75.2 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 8.6 | 2.2 |
| 48012 | AB | Calgary | Calgary Signal Hill | 61870 | 70.4 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 70.4 | 3.3 | 15.1 | 8.3 | 2.9 |
| 48013 | AB | Calgary | Calgary Skyview | 49874 | 52.5 | Con | Lib | NDP | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 52.5 | 1.6 | 28.3 | 14.9 | 2.7 |
| 48014 | AB | Edmonton and around | Edmonton Centre | 51745 | 41.7 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 41.7 | 2.6 | 32.9 | 20.6 | 2.3 |
| 48015 | AB | Edmonton and around | Edmonton Griesbach | 45977 | 51.2 | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 51.2 | 2.6 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 4.2 |
| 48016 | AB | Edmonton and around | Edmonton Manning | 51125 | 56.4 | Con | Lib | NDP | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 56.4 | 2.2 | 21.3 | 17.5 | 2.6 |
| 48017 | AB | Edmonton and around | Edmonton Mill Woods | 52417 | 50.4 | Con | Lib | NDP | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 50.4 | 1.8 | 33.6 | 12.0 | 2.2 |
| 48018 | AB | Edmonton and around | Edmonton Riverbend | 59661 | 57.8 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 57.8 | 2.9 | 22.8 | 15.1 | 1.4 |
| 48019 | AB | Edmonton and around | Edmonton Strathcona | 55381 | 47.3 | NDP | Con | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 37.3 | 1.9 | 11.5 | 47.3 | 2.0 |
| 48020 | AB | Edmonton and around | Edmonton West | 57589 | 61.1 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 61.1 | 2.4 | 20.1 | 14.5 | 1.9 |
| 48021 | AB | Edmonton and around | Edmonton–Wetaskiwin | 85093 | 72.5 | Con | Lib | NDP | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 72.5 | 1.9 | 12.1 | 11.3 | 2.2 |
| 48022 | AB | Rural Alberta | Foothills | 64290 | 82.3 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 82.3 | 3.6 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 2.6 |
| 48023 | AB | Rural Alberta | Fort McMurray–Cold Lake | 49680 | 80.0 | Con | Lib | NDP | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 80.0 | 1.7 | 9.5 | 5.6 | 3.2 |
| 48024 | AB | Rural Alberta | Grande Prairie–Mackenzie | 59936 | 84.2 | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 84.2 | 1.9 | 4.7 | 6.8 | 2.5 |
| 48025 | AB | Rural Alberta | Lakeland | 56573 | 84.1 | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 84.1 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 6.4 | 3.2 |
| 48026 | AB | Rural Alberta | Lethbridge | 63339 | 65.6 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 65.6 | 3.2 | 13.6 | 14.9 | 2.7 |
| 48027 | AB | Rural Alberta | Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner | 52334 | 79.3 | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 79.3 | 2.2 | 6.6 | 8.7 | 3.2 |
| 48028 | AB | Rural Alberta | Peace River–Westlock | 50945 | 80.8 | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 80.8 | 2.6 | 6.0 | 7.5 | 3.1 |
| 48029 | AB | Rural Alberta | Red Deer–Mountain View | 67277 | 80.4 | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 80.4 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 7.2 | 3.9 |
| 48030 | AB | Rural Alberta | Red Deer–Lacombe | 65950 | 79.9 | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 79.9 | 2.3 | 5.2 | 8.9 | 3.7 |
| 48031 | AB | Edmonton and around | St. Albert–Edmonton | 63850 | 60.8 | Con | Lib | NDP | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 60.8 | 2.4 | 19.1 | 15.1 | 2.5 |
| 48032 | AB | Edmonton and around | Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan | 71938 | 73.6 | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 73.6 | 2.2 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 2.2 |
| 48033 | AB | Edmonton and around | Sturgeon River–Parkland | 67231 | 77.6 | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 77.6 | 2.5 | 6.8 | 10.1 | 3.0 |
| 48034 | AB | Rural Alberta | Yellowhead | 54961 | 82.3 | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 82.3 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 3.4 |
| 59001 | BC | Fraser Valley and S Lower M | Abbotsford | 48548 | 51.6 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 51.6 | 7.5 | 21.5 | 16.8 | 2.6 |
| 59002 | BC | Vancouver and N Lower Main | Burnaby North–Seymour | 48988 | 35.5 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 19.5 | 9.5 | 35.5 | 32.3 | 3.1 |
| 59003 | BC | Vancouver and N Lower Main | Burnaby South | 44701 | 37.5 | NDP | Con | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 31.1 | 5.6 | 23.8 | 37.5 | 2.1 |
| 59004 | BC | BC Interior - North | Cariboo–Prince George | 54126 | 52.8 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 52.8 | 9.1 | 19.9 | 15.4 | 2.8 |
| 59005 | BC | BC Interior - SE | Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola | 63436 | 47.9 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 47.9 | 7.7 | 25.0 | 17.0 | 2.4 |
| 59006 | BC | Fraser Valley and S Lower M | Chilliwack–Hope | 53272 | 49.7 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 49.7 | 9.7 | 20.2 | 16.6 | 3.8 |
| 59007 | BC | Fraser Valley and S Lower M | Cloverdale–Langley City | 55058 | 37.7 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 37.7 | 6.4 | 35.4 | 18.9 | 1.7 |
| 59008 | BC | Vancouver and N Lower Main | Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam | 56634 | 34.6 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 34.0 | 6.9 | 34.6 | 23.1 | 1.4 |
| 59009 | BC | Vancouver Island | Courtenay–Alberni | 71173 | 41.3 | NDP | Con | Grn | Lib | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 33.0 | 13.4 | 12.0 | 41.3 | 0.2 |
| 59010 | BC | Vancouver Island | Cowichan–Malahat–Langford | 63802 | 36.2 | NDP | Con | Grn | Lib | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 25.8 | 20.2 | 15.9 | 36.2 | 2.0 |
| 59011 | BC | Fraser Valley and S Lower M | Delta | 53288 | 41.2 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 33.1 | 6.2 | 41.2 | 16.2 | 3.2 |
| 59012 | BC | Fraser Valley and S Lower M | Fleetwood–Port Kells | 48194 | 37.7 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 33.9 | 4.8 | 37.7 | 21.4 | 2.2 |
| 59013 | BC | BC Interior - SE | Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo | 71703 | 44.7 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 44.7 | 12.1 | 27.3 | 13.7 | 2.2 |
| 59014 | BC | BC Interior - SE | Kelowna–Lake Country | 67865 | 45.7 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 45.7 | 7.4 | 32.6 | 12.1 | 2.1 |
| 59015 | BC | BC Interior - SE | Kootenay–Columbia | 66327 | 45.1 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 45.1 | 9.0 | 9.1 | 34.2 | 2.6 |
| 59016 | BC | Fraser Valley and S Lower M | Langley–Aldergrove | 61537 | 47.0 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 47.0 | 7.6 | 25.5 | 16.9 | 2.9 |
| 59017 | BC | Fraser Valley and S Lower M | Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon | 45743 | 42.1 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 42.1 | 10.9 | 26.3 | 17.5 | 3.2 |
| 59018 | BC | Vancouver Island | Nanaimo–Ladysmith | 71134 | 34.5 | Grn | Con | NDP | Lib | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 25.9 | 34.5 | 13.6 | 23.7 | 2.3 |
| 59019 | BC | Vancouver and N Lower Main | New Westminster–Burnaby | 52108 | 44.2 | NDP | Lib | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 21.6 | 8.2 | 23.5 | 44.2 | 2.5 |
| 59020 | BC | BC Interior - SE | North Okanagan–Shuswap | 73273 | 48.8 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 48.8 | 10.5 | 22.7 | 15.3 | 2.7 |
| 59021 | BC | Vancouver and N Lower Main | North Vancouver | 61874 | 42.7 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 27.1 | 12.4 | 42.7 | 16.3 | 1.5 |
| 59022 | BC | Fraser Valley and S Lower M | Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge | 53707 | 36.3 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 36.3 | 7.9 | 29.7 | 23.8 | 2.2 |
| 59023 | BC | Vancouver and N Lower Main | Port Moody–Coquitlam | 52929 | 31.3 | Con | NDP | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 31.3 | 7.2 | 29.1 | 30.7 | 1.6 |
| 59024 | BC | BC Interior - North | Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies | 54597 | 69.9 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 69.9 | 6.2 | 11.5 | 9.2 | 3.2 |
| 59025 | BC | Fraser Valley and S Lower M | Richmond Centre | 38142 | 49.3 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 49.3 | 6.1 | 28.4 | 14.4 | 1.9 |
| 59026 | BC | Vancouver Island | Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke | 69003 | 34.1 | NDP | Grn | Con | Lib | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 18.9 | 26.3 | 17.9 | 34.1 | 2.8 |
| 59027 | BC | Vancouver Island | Saanich–Gulf Islands | 66309 | 48.8 | Grn | Con | Lib | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 20.4 | 48.8 | 16.8 | 12.7 | 1.4 |
| 59028 | BC | BC Interior - North | Skeena–Bulkley Valley | 40795 | 40.9 | NDP | Con | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 33.4 | 7.8 | 11.5 | 40.9 | 6.4 |
| 59029 | BC | BC Interior - SE | South Okanagan–West Kootenay | 66761 | 36.4 | NDP | Con | Lib | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 35.2 | 8.3 | 17.2 | 36.4 | 2.9 |
| 59030 | BC | Fraser Valley and S Lower M | South Surrey–White Rock | 57120 | 42.1 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 42.1 | 7.6 | 37.3 | 11.5 | 1.5 |
| 59031 | BC | Fraser Valley and S Lower M | Steveston–Richmond East | 41084 | 41.8 | Con | Lib | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 41.8 | 6.9 | 35.0 | 15.0 | 1.2 |
| 59032 | BC | Fraser Valley and S Lower M | Surrey Centre | 40825 | 37.4 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 25.5 | 6.1 | 37.4 | 27.4 | 3.6 |
| 59033 | BC | Fraser Valley and S Lower M | Surrey–Newton | 40658 | 45.1 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 20.9 | 3.2 | 45.1 | 29.2 | 1.6 |
| 59034 | BC | Vancouver and N Lower Main | Vancouver Centre | 52950 | 42.1 | Lib | NDP | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 19.3 | 12.4 | 42.1 | 23.8 | 2.3 |
| 59035 | BC | Vancouver and N Lower Main | Vancouver East | 54222 | 52.5 | NDP | Lib | Grn | Con | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 12.2 | 14.4 | 18.1 | 52.5 | 2.8 |
| 59036 | BC | Vancouver and N Lower Main | Vancouver Granville | 51202 | 33.1 | Other | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Bloc | 0.0 | 22.1 | 5.0 | 26.6 | 13.1 | 33.1 |
| 59037 | BC | Vancouver Island | North Island–Powell River | 62126 | 37.8 | NDP | Con | Grn | Lib | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 32.4 | 14.3 | 13.1 | 37.8 | 2.4 |
| 59038 | BC | Vancouver and N Lower Main | Vancouver Kingsway | 43251 | 48.9 | NDP | Lib | Con | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 20.1 | 6.0 | 23.1 | 48.9 | 1.8 |
| 59039 | BC | Vancouver and N Lower Main | Vancouver Quadra | 49314 | 43.4 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 28.0 | 12.3 | 43.4 | 15.1 | 1.2 |
| 59040 | BC | Vancouver and N Lower Main | Vancouver South | 42407 | 41.1 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 33.5 | 5.6 | 41.1 | 18.5 | 1.2 |
| 59041 | BC | Vancouver Island | Victoria | 70073 | 33.2 | NDP | Grn | Lib | Con | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 12.6 | 29.7 | 22.4 | 33.2 | 2.0 |
| 59042 | BC | Vancouver and N Lower Main | West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country | 63501 | 34.9 | Lib | Con | Grn | NDP | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 26.9 | 22.2 | 34.9 | 13.9 | 2.1 |
| 60001 | North | North | Yukon | 20490 | 33.4 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 33.1 | 10.3 | 33.4 | 21.8 | 1.4 |
| 61001 | North | North | Northwest Territories | 16588 | 40.0 | Lib | Con | NDP | Grn | Other | Bloc | 0.0 | 25.8 | 10.6 | 40.0 | 21.8 | 1.8 |
| 62001 | North | North | Nunavut | 9031 | 41.2 | NDP | Lib | Con | Grn | Bloc | Other | 0.0 | 25.8 | 2.1 | 31.0 | 41.2 | 0.0 |
4.3.2 Interactive Table
4.4 Finding “win-win” winnable riding pairs
Tables 3 shows the ridings where Liberals and NDP did not win, but they could have both won more seats, if they teamed up. Similarly, Table 4 shows the ridings where NDP and Green did not win, but could have, if they cooperated with each other.
The tables are sorted by province and then by proximity of the party Alliance pair to the winner and the inter-party vote difference within the Alliance pair. The formula to identify these ridings is provided. A threshold proximityToWinner (currently set to 10%) is used to find the ridings where the combined number of votes for alliance parties is larger (or close up to 10%) than the number of votes the party who past the post first (shown in Column 1st).
Looking at these tables, one can identify pairs (or tuples) of regions, where disadvantaged parties can both win.
Critically, it is important to note that both participating parties would have won more seats in each identified riding pairs. This is why it is called a “win-win” strategy. Parties with small number of votes who drop their candidates in the identified riding, have anything to lose, while allowing the partnering party to win. in exchange however the other party would do the same in another riding identifies using the table.
dtByProvince %>% d7.datatable dtByRiding %>% d7.datatable dtBias[order(-total,Bias)] %>% d7.datatable dtByRiding1[ order(-get(colTogetherOver1st) ) ] %>% d7.datatable(1,2)#
# input$proximityToWinner <- 10
#
# dtByRiding[`1`!="NDP" & `1`!="Lib" & `1st-(Lib+NDP)` < input$proximityToWinner ][order(Province, `1st-(Lib+NDP)`, `Lib-NDP`)] %>%
# setcolorder(c("1st-(Lib+NDP)", "Lib-NDP")) %>% kable( caption = "Table 3: Opportunities for Liberal-NDP Alliances" )# dtByRiding[`1`!="NDP" &`1`!="Grn" & `1st-(NDP+Grn)`< input$proximityToWinner][order(`1st-(NDP+Grn)`, `NDP-Grn`)] %>%
# setcolorder(c("1st-(NDP+Grn)", "NDP-Grn")) %>% kable( caption = "Table 4: Opportunities for NDP-Green Alliances" )4.4.1 Summary
It is seen that in many egions there are ridings where inter-party vote difference is both negative and positive. It is this observation that enables both involved parties to benefit from cooperation with each other. Simply, by agreeing that both parties will not run (i.e. will cooperate with each other) where their Alliance partner has more votes, will allow the partnering party to gain enough votes to win.
5 Next Steps
The idea is to make the Web App that will be fully automated. For each region, it will find automatically the ridings, where the parties who cannot win without Alliance, can win with Alliance. (In probabilistic sense, of course, based on the poll results)
The App will be fully automated, party and region agnostic, meaning that any party that is identified by the App as a “disadvantaged party” in a given region (i.e. as the party with large negative FPTP bias in that region) will be given automatically recommendations by the App related to which other party to make an Alliance and in which ridings of that region.